OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra has posted the company’s strongest verified HLE results to date at 54.7–57.2% (with tools), placing it just behind Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 entries that sit at 59–65%. Trader sentiment for the 55%+ and 60%+ thresholds reflects OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier releases, heavy investment in agentic tool use, and extended reasoning scaffolds that have lifted scores roughly 20 points since early 2026. With three-plus months left in the year and historical patterns of rapid iteration before major conferences, markets price high probability that OpenAI will close the gap on the current leader before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPunteggio OpenAI più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$97,283 Vol.
55%+
78%
60%+
33%
65% o più
18%
70% o più
10%
$97,283 Vol.
55%+
78%
60%+
33%
65% o più
18%
70% o più
10%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra has posted the company’s strongest verified HLE results to date at 54.7–57.2% (with tools), placing it just behind Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 entries that sit at 59–65%. Trader sentiment for the 55%+ and 60%+ thresholds reflects OpenAI’s recent cadence of frontier releases, heavy investment in agentic tool use, and extended reasoning scaffolds that have lifted scores roughly 20 points since early 2026. With three-plus months left in the year and historical patterns of rapid iteration before major conferences, markets price high probability that OpenAI will close the gap on the current leader before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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