Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores of 59.1% on Artificial Analysis and up to 65% on other tracked evaluations as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants, OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 54.7%, and Meta’s Muse Spark near 49-62%. HLE’s 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, sciences, and humanities remain far from saturated, rewarding advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive techniques that have driven rapid gains from single-digit results in early 2025. Major labs continue iterative releases and fine-tuning focused on reasoning effort, with potential year-end catalysts including new OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google models that could shift the frontier before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these verified capability gaps and the likelihood of further incremental progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl punteggio più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
Il punteggio più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$72,193 Vol.
31 dic 2026
60%+
52%
65%+
29%
70%+
14%
75%+
13%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$72,193 Vol.
60%+
$41,225 Vol.
52%
65%+
$16,633 Vol.
29%
70%+
$6,485 Vol.
14%
75%+
$3,674 Vol.
13%
80%+
$1,710 Vol.
7%
90%+
$2,465 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores of 59.1% on Artificial Analysis and up to 65% on other tracked evaluations as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants, OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 54.7%, and Meta’s Muse Spark near 49-62%. HLE’s 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, sciences, and humanities remain far from saturated, rewarding advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive techniques that have driven rapid gains from single-digit results in early 2025. Major labs continue iterative releases and fine-tuning focused on reasoning effort, with potential year-end catalysts including new OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google models that could shift the frontier before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these verified capability gaps and the likelihood of further incremental progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$72,193Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores of 59.1% on Artificial Analysis and up to 65% on other tracked evaluations as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants, OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 54.7%, and Meta’s Muse Spark near 49-62%. HLE’s 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, sciences, and humanities remain far from saturated, rewarding advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive techniques that have driven rapid gains from single-digit results in early 2025. Major labs continue iterative releases and fine-tuning focused on reasoning effort, with potential year-end catalysts including new OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google models that could shift the frontier before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these verified capability gaps and the likelihood of further incremental progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$72,193Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores of 59.1% on Artificial Analysis and up to 65% on other tracked evaluations as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude variants, OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 54.7%, and Meta’s Muse Spark near 49-62%. HLE’s 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, sciences, and humanities remain far from saturated, rewarding advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive techniques that have driven rapid gains from single-digit results in early 2025. Major labs continue iterative releases and fine-tuning focused on reasoning effort, with potential year-end catalysts including new OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google models that could shift the frontier before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these verified capability gaps and the likelihood of further incremental progress.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello OpenAI nell'Ultimo Esame dell'Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
77%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello Meta all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà del 55% o superiore?
29%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto da un modello Anthropic Claude all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
92%
Sì
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