Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's July 17 high near 29°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-July conditions feature strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge typical for the Anatolian plateau, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest potential for 31°C if afternoon mixing strengthens, while overnight cooling and any thin high cloud keep the upper tail below 10% probability. Updated runs through July 15 have held steady without major shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal climatological peak rather than an anomalous heat event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 17 luglio?
29°C 44%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's July 17 high near 29°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-July conditions feature strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge typical for the Anatolian plateau, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest potential for 31°C if afternoon mixing strengthens, while overnight cooling and any thin high cloud keep the upper tail below 10% probability. Updated runs through July 15 have held steady without major shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal climatological peak rather than an anomalous heat event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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