**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 luglio?
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
19%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
24°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$422 Vol.
1%
27°C
$624 Vol.
4%
28°C
$338 Vol.
10%
29°C
$746 Vol.
26%
30°C
$909 Vol.
27%
31°C
$541 Vol.
19%
32°C
$417 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,599 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$2,060 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,822Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,822Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti