Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 15 luglio?
28°C 57%
29°C 23%
27°C 16%
30°C 4.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
57%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 23%
27°C 16%
30°C 4.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
$283 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$642 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$81 Vol.
1%
26°C
$312 Vol.
2%
27°C
$181 Vol.
16%
28°C
$368 Vol.
57%
29°C
$126 Vol.
23%
30°C
$158 Vol.
5%
31°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$575 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,071Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,071Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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