Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?
28°C 47%
27°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 3.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
42%
28°C
47%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 42%
29°C 7%
26°C 3.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
23°C or below
$476 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$731 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$176 Vol.
1%
26°C
$253 Vol.
4%
27°C
$705 Vol.
42%
28°C
$747 Vol.
47%
29°C
$262 Vol.
7%
30°C
$133 Vol.
2%
31°C
$211 Vol.
1%
32°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,083Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,083Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs currently favors a July 15 daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul, consistent with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, acts as the main cooling influence that caps peak temperatures, while variations in cloud cover, wind strength, or subsidence could push readings to 29°C or hold them at 26°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with traders tracking the next 12Z and 00Z model cycles plus Turkish State Meteorological Service updates for refinements ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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