Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 15 luglio?
26°C 52%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
24°C 4.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
19%
26°C
52%
27°C
26%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 52%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
24°C 4.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
21°C o inferiore
$489 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$231 Vol.
4%
25°C
$326 Vol.
19%
26°C
$522 Vol.
52%
27°C
$800 Vol.
26%
28°C
$153 Vol.
4%
29°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,914Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,914Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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