July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 luglio?
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
31°C 7.7%
28°C 7.0%
NUOVO
$90,666 Vol.
NUOVO
$90,666 Vol.
14 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
31°C 7.7%
28°C 7.0%
NUOVO
$90,666 Vol.
NUOVO
$90,666 Vol.
14 lug 2026
24°C or below
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,683 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15,459 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$34,301 Vol.
7%
29°C
$4,932 Vol.
44%
30°C
$4,000 Vol.
39%
31°C
$3,271 Vol.
8%
32°C
$8,950 Vol.
1%
33°C
$7,816 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$6,429 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$90,666Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,666Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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