Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 luglio?
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 18%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
11%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 18%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$166 Vol.
6%
25°C
$130 Vol.
18%
26°C
$256 Vol.
35%
27°C
$164 Vol.
33%
28°C
$165 Vol.
11%
29°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,465Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,465Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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