Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 15 luglio?
28°C 35%
27°C 29%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
24°C o meno
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
29%
28°C
35%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 29%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 lug 2026
24°C o meno
$888 Vol.
1%
25°C
$912 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,352 Vol.
8%
27°C
$564 Vol.
29%
28°C
$2,976 Vol.
35%
29°C
$258 Vol.
18%
30°C
$514 Vol.
1%
31°C
$255 Vol.
1%
32°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,444Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,444Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti