Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 21 luglio?
33°C 56%
34°C 31%
32°C 11%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
$15,566 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,566 Vol.
21 lug 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 31%
32°C 11%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
$15,566 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,566 Vol.
21 lug 2026
30°C or below
$537 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,411 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,226 Vol.
11%
33°C
$3,768 Vol.
56%
34°C
$1,941 Vol.
31%
35°C
$1,465 Vol.
5%
36°C
$904 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,566Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,566Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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