Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 21 luglio?
30°C 91%
31°C 9%
32°C <1%
25°C o inferiore <1%
$143,181 Vol.
$143,181 Vol.
21 lug 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
91%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 91%
31°C 9%
32°C <1%
25°C o inferiore <1%
$143,181 Vol.
$143,181 Vol.
21 lug 2026
25°C o inferiore
$376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,248 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20,048 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,668 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$33,046 Vol.
91%
31°C
$16,667 Vol.
9%
32°C
$21,568 Vol.
1%
33°C
$18,966 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$12,497 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$2,158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$143,181Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$143,181Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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