Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 23 luglio?
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 30s °C on July 23, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon convection. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows highs near 32–33 °C (roughly 90–92 °F), tempered by cloud cover and showers that can suppress the daily maximum. The tight spread across 31–34 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any localized urban heat influences in the Pearl River Delta. Historical July averages of 32–33 °C provide context, while short-term variability from monsoon patterns keeps trader probabilities clustered rather than decisive. Updated regional model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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