Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 21 luglio?
39°C 38%
38°C 26%
40°C 24%
37°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
10%
38°C
26%
39°C
38%
40°C
24%
41°C
6%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 38%
38°C 26%
40°C 24%
37°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
34°C or below
$450 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$273 Vol.
1%
36°C
$584 Vol.
2%
37°C
$1,034 Vol.
10%
38°C
$939 Vol.
26%
39°C
$1,004 Vol.
38%
40°C
$878 Vol.
24%
41°C
$1,733 Vol.
6%
42°C
$409 Vol.
1%
43°C
$309 Vol.
1%
44°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,799Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,799Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Chongqing's peak temperature on July 21, with ensemble outputs clustering between 37–40°C amid shifting subtropical high pressure and variable moisture inflow from the monsoon. This drives the tight market spread, as traders weigh typical July heat in the Sichuan Basin—where urban heat island effects and topography often push extremes above 38°C—against potential cooling from increased cloud cover or precipitation. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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