Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 luglio?
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
33°C 17%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,214 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,214 Vol.
22 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
33°C 17%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,214 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,214 Vol.
22 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
$247 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$721 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,644 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,232 Vol.
10%
31°C
$956 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,043 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,718 Vol.
17%
34°C
$1,900 Vol.
3%
35°C
$989 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,214Data di fine
22 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,214Data di fine
22 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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