Forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, supported by consistent hourly projections peaking in the early afternoon, underpins the dominant 71% market-implied probability for 32°C, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes. Recent stable high-pressure conditions and minimal model spread have reinforced trader confidence in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-September baselines for the region’s continental climate. Updated observations through midday continue to align with these projections ahead of final official readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 6 settembre?
32°C 64%
31°C 28%
33°C 10%
30°C 5%
$19,202 Vol.
$19,202 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
28%
32°C
64%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 28%
33°C 10%
30°C 5%
$19,202 Vol.
$19,202 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
28%
32°C
64%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Ankara on September 6 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This consensus, supported by consistent hourly projections peaking in the early afternoon, underpins the dominant 71% market-implied probability for 32°C, with 31°C and 33°C as secondary outcomes. Recent stable high-pressure conditions and minimal model spread have reinforced trader confidence in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-September baselines for the region’s continental climate. Updated observations through midday continue to align with these projections ahead of final official readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti