Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
96-97°F 61%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 6.6%
94-95°F 5%
$63,324 Vol.
$63,324 Vol.
3 lug 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
61%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 61%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 6.6%
94-95°F 5%
$63,324 Vol.
$63,324 Vol.
3 lug 2026
91°F or below
$9,798 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,822 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,440 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$15,929 Vol.
61%
98-99°F
$4,595 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$2,907 Vol.
7%
102-103°F
$3,592 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$7,652 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$2,298 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$63,324Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,324Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti