Recent short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models show Istanbul's June 27 daytime maximum centering near 27–28 °C, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread. Marine influences from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas typically moderate peaks, while variable cloud cover, wind direction, and any late-day sea-breeze timing create the narrow uncertainty band between 27 °C and 28 °C. Broader June warming across western Turkey supports the slight edge for 28 °C, though no major synoptic shift has emerged in the past 48 hours to push consensus higher or lower. Updated official guidance and final model runs before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 27 giugno?
28°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$55,325 Vol.
$55,325 Vol.
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$55,325 Vol.
$55,325 Vol.
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models show Istanbul's June 27 daytime maximum centering near 27–28 °C, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread. Marine influences from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas typically moderate peaks, while variable cloud cover, wind direction, and any late-day sea-breeze timing create the narrow uncertainty band between 27 °C and 28 °C. Broader June warming across western Turkey supports the slight edge for 28 °C, though no major synoptic shift has emerged in the past 48 hours to push consensus higher or lower. Updated official guidance and final model runs before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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