Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 giugno?
23°C 37%
28°C o superiore 31%
24°C 23%
21°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
31%
23°C 37%
28°C o superiore 31%
24°C 23%
21°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
$32 Vol.
2%
19°C
$32 Vol.
3%
20°C
$16 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$25 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$5 Vol.
9%
27°C
$32 Vol.
3%
28°C o superiore
$31 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$173Data di fine
29 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173Data di fine
29 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti