Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including consistent model outputs, point to partly cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 4, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28°C with low precipitation risk. This pattern reflects typical early-September transitional weather, where stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime heating compared to peak summer. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the mode likely incorporate minor downward adjustments from ensemble variability or resolution criteria tied to official station measurements, while the clustering around 25–27°C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range predictions. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 4 settembre?
26°C 54%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
23%
26°C
54%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C o superiore
4%
26°C 54%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$20 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$27 Vol.
54%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$20 Vol.
5%
29°C
$9 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including consistent model outputs, point to partly cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 4, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28°C with low precipitation risk. This pattern reflects typical early-September transitional weather, where stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime heating compared to peak summer. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the mode likely incorporate minor downward adjustments from ensemble variability or resolution criteria tied to official station measurements, while the clustering around 25–27°C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range predictions. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including consistent model outputs, point to partly cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 4, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28°C with low precipitation risk. This pattern reflects typical early-September transitional weather, where stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime heating compared to peak summer. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the mode likely incorporate minor downward adjustments from ensemble variability or resolution criteria tied to official station measurements, while the clustering around 25–27°C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range predictions. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including consistent model outputs, point to partly cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 4, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28°C with low precipitation risk. This pattern reflects typical early-September transitional weather, where stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime heating compared to peak summer. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C as the mode likely incorporate minor downward adjustments from ensemble variability or resolution criteria tied to official station measurements, while the clustering around 25–27°C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range predictions. Updated model runs in the coming 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti