Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and widespread thundershowers across eastern Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for September 3 amid overcast skies, high humidity, and a 70–90 % chance of rain, conditions that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 30–32 °C, with 31 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours and any late intensification of rainfall will be the key variables that could shift odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 3 settembre?
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
6%
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
23°C or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$106 Vol.
3%
29°C
$116 Vol.
7%
30°C
$14 Vol.
29%
31°C
$36 Vol.
39%
32°C
$159 Vol.
20%
33°C or higher
$58 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and widespread thundershowers across eastern Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for September 3 amid overcast skies, high humidity, and a 70–90 % chance of rain, conditions that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 30–32 °C, with 31 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours and any late intensification of rainfall will be the key variables that could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,517Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and widespread thundershowers across eastern Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for September 3 amid overcast skies, high humidity, and a 70–90 % chance of rain, conditions that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 30–32 °C, with 31 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours and any late intensification of rainfall will be the key variables that could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,517Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and widespread thundershowers across eastern Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for September 3 amid overcast skies, high humidity, and a 70–90 % chance of rain, conditions that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 30–32 °C, with 31 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours and any late intensification of rainfall will be the key variables that could shift odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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