Official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a 33°C daily high for Manila on June 18, consistent with early southwest monsoon conditions that typically bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak temperatures near the 32°C June average. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to high humidity and 20-40% rain chances, though urban heat island effects and brief clear periods can elevate actual maximum readings by 1-2°C above broader guidance. Trader consensus pricing 35°C highest at 40.5% reflects this inherent short-term variability ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 18?
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 14.7%
$11,806 Vol.
$11,806 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C
41%
36°C
30%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 14.7%
$11,806 Vol.
$11,806 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C
41%
36°C
30%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a 33°C daily high for Manila on June 18, consistent with early southwest monsoon conditions that typically bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak temperatures near the 32°C June average. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential due to high humidity and 20-40% rain chances, though urban heat island effects and brief clear periods can elevate actual maximum readings by 1-2°C above broader guidance. Trader consensus pricing 35°C highest at 40.5% reflects this inherent short-term variability ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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