Latest numerical weather prediction models, including European ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Milan on June 11 under weak high pressure with light winds and possible afternoon showers. This positions the 26°C and 27°C outcomes as market leaders at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability, respectively, consistent with historical early-June climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and localized convection introduces uncertainty that supports the 25°C share at 16.5%, while warmer outliers remain low-probability. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service are expected overnight and could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano l'11 giugno?
26°C 43%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 7%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
43%
27°C
33%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 43%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 7%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
43%
27°C
33%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including European ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Milan on June 11 under weak high pressure with light winds and possible afternoon showers. This positions the 26°C and 27°C outcomes as market leaders at 42.5% and 32.5% implied probability, respectively, consistent with historical early-June climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and localized convection introduces uncertainty that supports the 25°C share at 16.5%, while warmer outliers remain low-probability. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service are expected overnight and could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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