Latest European weather model consensus points to a maximum temperature in Munich on June 11 most likely in the 16–17 °C range, driven by a moderate westerly flow of cooler maritime air under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and DWD highlight modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and shower coverage, with historical June climatology in southern Bavaria showing typical highs near 21 °C but current synoptic patterns favoring below-average values. Traders are weighting the narrow 15–18 °C window heavily because resolution hinges on official DWD observations at the Munich station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or insolation could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco l'11 giugno?
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
15°C 18%
18°C 6.6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
35%
17°C
40%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
15°C 18%
18°C 6.6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
35%
17°C
40%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European weather model consensus points to a maximum temperature in Munich on June 11 most likely in the 16–17 °C range, driven by a moderate westerly flow of cooler maritime air under variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and DWD highlight modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and shower coverage, with historical June climatology in southern Bavaria showing typical highs near 21 °C but current synoptic patterns favoring below-average values. Traders are weighting the narrow 15–18 °C window heavily because resolution hinges on official DWD observations at the Munich station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or insolation could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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