Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate clearing skies and light winds on October 8 following several days of showers and thunderstorms, favoring greater solar heating and afternoon highs near 29–32°C in São Paulo. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 32°C as the leading outcome, as reduced cloud cover and drier conditions allow temperatures to exceed the seasonal average of roughly 27°C. Model runs show limited precipitation risk (under 10–20% in most guidance) and modest variability tied to exact cloud timing or urban heat effects, keeping probabilities concentrated on 31–33°C while discounting extremes below 29°C or above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.