Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 3?
32°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 lug 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
24%
32°C
25%
33°C
13%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 lug 2026
25°C or below
$283 Vol.
1%
26°C
$32 Vol.
1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
1%
28°C
$743 Vol.
5%
29°C
$3 Vol.
6%
30°C
$11 Vol.
12%
31°C
$4 Vol.
24%
32°C
$22 Vol.
25%
33°C
$75 Vol.
13%
34°C
$5 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$7 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,214Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,214Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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