Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02

Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02

icon for Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02

Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02

Joe Mitchell 95.3%

Charlie McClintock 12.2%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket

$24,487 Vol.

Joe Mitchell 95.3%

Charlie McClintock 12.2%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket

$24,487 Vol.

Joe Mitchell

$7,569 Vol.

95%

Charlie McClintock

$2,071 Vol.

12%

Shannon Lundgren

$14,848 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell has consolidated a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the June 2 contest, driven by early endorsements from national GOP leaders, inclusion in the MAGA Majority program, and substantial fundraising that has outpaced rivals. As the open seat draws attention following Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, Mitchell’s background as a former state representative and Trump administration official has resonated with party activists seeking alignment on conservative priorities. State Senator Charlie McClintock continues to emphasize experience and independence, yet recent reporting shows limited momentum shifts. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Mitchell’s structural advantages in endorsements and resources, though primary turnout patterns or late developments such as intensified scrutiny of candidate records could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,487
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell has consolidated a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the June 2 contest, driven by early endorsements from national GOP leaders, inclusion in the MAGA Majority program, and substantial fundraising that has outpaced rivals. As the open seat draws attention following Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, Mitchell’s background as a former state representative and Trump administration official has resonated with party activists seeking alignment on conservative priorities. State Senator Charlie McClintock continues to emphasize experience and independence, yet recent reporting shows limited momentum shifts. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Mitchell’s structural advantages in endorsements and resources, though primary turnout patterns or late developments such as intensified scrutiny of candidate records could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,487
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Joe Mitchell" a 95%, seguito da "Charlie McClintock" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02" ha generato $24.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02" è "Joe Mitchell" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Charlie McClintock" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore primario repubblicano IA-02" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.