Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 5.0%
Deutsche Bank 3.9%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Goldman Sachs
71%
Morgan Stanley
7%
UBS
5%
Deutsche Bank
4%
Wells Fargo
3%
JPMorgan
3%
Barclays
2%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 5.0%
Deutsche Bank 3.9%
$21,601 Vol.
$21,601 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Goldman Sachs
$2,625 Vol.
71%
Morgan Stanley
$2,513 Vol.
7%
UBS
$2,059 Vol.
5%
Deutsche Bank
$7,131 Vol.
4%
Wells Fargo
$1,665 Vol.
3%
JPMorgan
$1,852 Vol.
3%
Barclays
$1,458 Vol.
2%
Bank of America
$1,016 Vol.
1%
Citigroup
$1,282 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$21,601Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,601Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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