Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a minimum temperature in Beijing of 16–17°C on September 14 under clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C. This consensus supports market-implied odds clustering near the 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher brackets because traders weigh residual model spread in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage against the strong baseline expectation of near-normal values. Ensemble runs show limited divergence on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the probability of sub-10°C readings or highs near 19°C low unless an unanticipated surge of cooler air arrives from the north. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 14 settembre?
9°C o inferiore 99%
19°C o superiore 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
99%
10°C
38%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C o superiore
98%
9°C o inferiore 99%
19°C o superiore 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
99%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$210 Vol.
19%
19°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a minimum temperature in Beijing of 16–17°C on September 14 under clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C. This consensus supports market-implied odds clustering near the 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher brackets because traders weigh residual model spread in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage against the strong baseline expectation of near-normal values. Ensemble runs show limited divergence on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the probability of sub-10°C readings or highs near 19°C low unless an unanticipated surge of cooler air arrives from the north. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$210Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a minimum temperature in Beijing of 16–17°C on September 14 under clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C. This consensus supports market-implied odds clustering near the 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher brackets because traders weigh residual model spread in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage against the strong baseline expectation of near-normal values. Ensemble runs show limited divergence on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the probability of sub-10°C readings or highs near 19°C low unless an unanticipated surge of cooler air arrives from the north. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$210Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a minimum temperature in Beijing of 16–17°C on September 14 under clear skies, light variable winds, and dry conditions, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C. This consensus supports market-implied odds clustering near the 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher brackets because traders weigh residual model spread in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage against the strong baseline expectation of near-normal values. Ensemble runs show limited divergence on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the probability of sub-10°C readings or highs near 19°C low unless an unanticipated surge of cooler air arrives from the north. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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