Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to minimum temperatures in New York City on August 3 settling in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 74–77 °F bins. A warm, moist air mass under weak high pressure and southerly flow has limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping forecast lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatological average of roughly 68 °F. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks reinforcing above-normal temperatures for the month have further anchored trader expectations, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud-cover changes in the latest model runs has kept downside risk low. Updated NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 3 agosto?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$154 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$40 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$23 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$5 Vol.
45%
76-77°F
$14 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$1 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$589 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$595 Vol.
1%
84°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to minimum temperatures in New York City on August 3 settling in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 74–77 °F bins. A warm, moist air mass under weak high pressure and southerly flow has limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping forecast lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatological average of roughly 68 °F. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks reinforcing above-normal temperatures for the month have further anchored trader expectations, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud-cover changes in the latest model runs has kept downside risk low. Updated NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,462Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to minimum temperatures in New York City on August 3 settling in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 74–77 °F bins. A warm, moist air mass under weak high pressure and southerly flow has limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping forecast lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatological average of roughly 68 °F. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks reinforcing above-normal temperatures for the month have further anchored trader expectations, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud-cover changes in the latest model runs has kept downside risk low. Updated NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,462Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to minimum temperatures in New York City on August 3 settling in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 74–77 °F bins. A warm, moist air mass under weak high pressure and southerly flow has limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping forecast lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatological average of roughly 68 °F. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks reinforcing above-normal temperatures for the month have further anchored trader expectations, while the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud-cover changes in the latest model runs has kept downside risk low. Updated NWS forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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