Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 3 settembre?
14°C o inferiore 90%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
90%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C o superiore
47%
14°C o inferiore 90%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
90%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$4 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$29Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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