Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 28 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 28 giugno?
22°C 99.0%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUOVO
$17,289 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,289 Vol.
28 giu 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 99.0%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUOVO
$17,289 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,289 Vol.
28 giu 2026
17°C o inferiore
$640 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$502 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$642 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$824 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,221 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,360 Vol.
99%
23°C
$5,729 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,042 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$441 Vol.
<1%
27°C o superiore
$780 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,289Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,289Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti