Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MO-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$37,522 Vol.
$37,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
97%
Partito Democratico
5%
$37,522 Vol.
$37,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$21,526 Vol.
97%
Partito Democratico
$15,996 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,522Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,522Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured the MO-08 nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Christopher Reichard narrowly advanced. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election, consistent with its strong GOP tilt and Smith's prior 76% margin. Trader consensus at 96.2% for Republicans reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and voter patterns in the rural southeast Missouri seat. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown limited late volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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