Incumbent Republican Rep. Nicole Malliotakis' strong fundraising—over $2.3 million raised and $2.6 million cash on hand—vastly outpaces Democratic primary contenders Allison Ziogas ($85,000 raised), Michael DeCillis ($32,000), and Umar Usman ($0), fueling trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP. Recent court victories, including a March 19 federal judge's permanent dismissal of a redistricting challenge and Supreme Court pauses earlier that month, preserved the Staten Island-based district's Republican-leaning map amid its rightward shift among working-class voters like police and firefighters. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the race awaits the June 23 closed primaries, where Dem fragmentation poses hurdles despite national House battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
$13,739 Vol.
$13,739 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,739 Vol.
$13,739 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$7,655 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$6,084 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Nicole Malliotakis' strong fundraising—over $2.3 million raised and $2.6 million cash on hand—vastly outpaces Democratic primary contenders Allison Ziogas ($85,000 raised), Michael DeCillis ($32,000), and Umar Usman ($0), fueling trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP. Recent court victories, including a March 19 federal judge's permanent dismissal of a redistricting challenge and Supreme Court pauses earlier that month, preserved the Staten Island-based district's Republican-leaning map amid its rightward shift among working-class voters like police and firefighters. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the race awaits the June 23 closed primaries, where Dem fragmentation poses hurdles despite national House battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$13,739Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Nicole Malliotakis' strong fundraising—over $2.3 million raised and $2.6 million cash on hand—vastly outpaces Democratic primary contenders Allison Ziogas ($85,000 raised), Michael DeCillis ($32,000), and Umar Usman ($0), fueling trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP. Recent court victories, including a March 19 federal judge's permanent dismissal of a redistricting challenge and Supreme Court pauses earlier that month, preserved the Staten Island-based district's Republican-leaning map amid its rightward shift among working-class voters like police and firefighters. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the race awaits the June 23 closed primaries, where Dem fragmentation poses hurdles despite national House battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,739Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Nicole Malliotakis' strong fundraising—over $2.3 million raised and $2.6 million cash on hand—vastly outpaces Democratic primary contenders Allison Ziogas ($85,000 raised), Michael DeCillis ($32,000), and Umar Usman ($0), fueling trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP. Recent court victories, including a March 19 federal judge's permanent dismissal of a redistricting challenge and Supreme Court pauses earlier that month, preserved the Staten Island-based district's Republican-leaning map amid its rightward shift among working-class voters like police and firefighters. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, the race awaits the June 23 closed primaries, where Dem fragmentation poses hurdles despite national House battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti