Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent representing New York’s 11th congressional district since 2021, holds a commanding position in the 2026 general election against Democrat Michael DeCillis. The Staten Island and South Brooklyn-based seat has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it solid Republican. A state court effort to redraw district lines on Voting Rights Act grounds was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March 2026, preserving the existing map through the November 3 contest. Malliotakis won her primary without opposition and maintains strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-turnout June primary against a lesser-known challenger. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-11
$25,855 Vol.
$25,855 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
8%
$25,855 Vol.
$25,855 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$12,761 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,094 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent representing New York’s 11th congressional district since 2021, holds a commanding position in the 2026 general election against Democrat Michael DeCillis. The Staten Island and South Brooklyn-based seat has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it solid Republican. A state court effort to redraw district lines on Voting Rights Act grounds was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March 2026, preserving the existing map through the November 3 contest. Malliotakis won her primary without opposition and maintains strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-turnout June primary against a lesser-known challenger. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$25,855Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent representing New York’s 11th congressional district since 2021, holds a commanding position in the 2026 general election against Democrat Michael DeCillis. The Staten Island and South Brooklyn-based seat has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it solid Republican. A state court effort to redraw district lines on Voting Rights Act grounds was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March 2026, preserving the existing map through the November 3 contest. Malliotakis won her primary without opposition and maintains strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-turnout June primary against a lesser-known challenger. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,855Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent representing New York’s 11th congressional district since 2021, holds a commanding position in the 2026 general election against Democrat Michael DeCillis. The Staten Island and South Brooklyn-based seat has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it solid Republican. A state court effort to redraw district lines on Voting Rights Act grounds was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March 2026, preserving the existing map through the November 3 contest. Malliotakis won her primary without opposition and maintains strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-turnout June primary against a lesser-known challenger. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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