The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured her party’s nomination on June 23 with roughly 87% of the primary vote against limited challengers, extending a pattern of strong performance that included a 69% general-election margin in 2024. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean in Queens and the Bronx. Trader consensus prices in minimal near-term risk of reversal, though late-cycle developments such as a national electoral wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$29,734 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$13,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured her party’s nomination on June 23 with roughly 87% of the primary vote against limited challengers, extending a pattern of strong performance that included a 69% general-election margin in 2024. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean in Queens and the Bronx. Trader consensus prices in minimal near-term risk of reversal, though late-cycle developments such as a national electoral wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,272Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured her party’s nomination on June 23 with roughly 87% of the primary vote against limited challengers, extending a pattern of strong performance that included a 69% general-election margin in 2024. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean in Queens and the Bronx. Trader consensus prices in minimal near-term risk of reversal, though late-cycle developments such as a national electoral wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,272Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured her party’s nomination on June 23 with roughly 87% of the primary vote against limited challengers, extending a pattern of strong performance that included a 69% general-election margin in 2024. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean in Queens and the Bronx. Trader consensus prices in minimal near-term risk of reversal, though late-cycle developments such as a national electoral wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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