NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
$52,400 Vol.
$52,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
80%
Partito Democratico
19%
$52,400 Vol.
$52,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$24,404 Vol.
80%
Partito Democratico
$27,997 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$52,400Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,400Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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