Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, anchored in Pittsburgh and its eastern suburbs, carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Summer Lee secured renomination with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Democratic hold on November 3. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the incumbent, unusually strong Republican turnout mobilization, or a sharp national political shift before Election Day, though the district's underlying demographics and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
$16,370 Vol.
$16,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$16,370 Vol.
$16,370 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,679 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$4,691 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, anchored in Pittsburgh and its eastern suburbs, carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Summer Lee secured renomination with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Democratic hold on November 3. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the incumbent, unusually strong Republican turnout mobilization, or a sharp national political shift before Election Day, though the district's underlying demographics and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,370Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, anchored in Pittsburgh and its eastern suburbs, carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Summer Lee secured renomination with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Democratic hold on November 3. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the incumbent, unusually strong Republican turnout mobilization, or a sharp national political shift before Election Day, though the district's underlying demographics and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,370Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, anchored in Pittsburgh and its eastern suburbs, carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Summer Lee secured renomination with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Democratic hold on November 3. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the incumbent, unusually strong Republican turnout mobilization, or a sharp national political shift before Election Day, though the district's underlying demographics and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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