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icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

$691,229 Vol.

31 lug 2026
Polymarket

$691,229 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$355,544 Vol.

9%

July 31

$1,184 Vol.

68%

December 31

$295,337 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political instability centers on the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition government after the Social Democratic Party aligned with far-right opposition to secure 281 votes in parliament. Bolojan has remained caretaker prime minister since, with limited powers, while moderate parties struggle to assemble a replacement majority amid coalition breakdowns and failed nomination attempts, including the recent rejection of Adrian Veștea by his own National Liberal Party. This deadlock, driven by disputes over fiscal policy, EU funds, and patronage networks, has prolonged the caretaker period beyond initial expectations. Scheduled parliamentary votes on new government proposals and any further presidential nominations could shift timelines, though historical patterns of protracted negotiations in similar Romanian crises suggest extended uncertainty before a successor gains approval.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$691,229
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political instability centers on the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan’s pro-EU coalition government after the Social Democratic Party aligned with far-right opposition to secure 281 votes in parliament. Bolojan has remained caretaker prime minister since, with limited powers, while moderate parties struggle to assemble a replacement majority amid coalition breakdowns and failed nomination attempts, including the recent rejection of Adrian Veștea by his own National Liberal Party. This deadlock, driven by disputes over fiscal policy, EU funds, and patronage networks, has prolonged the caretaker period beyond initial expectations. Scheduled parliamentary votes on new government proposals and any further presidential nominations could shift timelines, though historical patterns of protracted negotiations in similar Romanian crises suggest extended uncertainty before a successor gains approval.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$691,229
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "December 31" a 97%, seguito da " July 31" a 68%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" ha generato $691.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" è "December 31" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è " July 31" a 68%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.