Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 18%
Sam McCown 9.6%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
9 giu 2026
Mark Smith
71%
Alex Pelbath
18%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
3%
Jack Ellison
3%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Mark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 18%
Sam McCown 9.6%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
9 giu 2026
Mark Smith
$5,657 Vol.
71%
Alex Pelbath
$2,492 Vol.
18%
Sam McCown
$2,086 Vol.
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$643 Vol.
4%
Jay Byars
$681 Vol.
3%
Jack Ellison
$945 Vol.
3%
Logan Cunningham
$733 Vol.
1%
Dan Brown
$641 Vol.
1%
Justin Myers
$603 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$14,480Data di fine
9 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,480Data di fine
9 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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