Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock and one horse in Presidio County, plus a New Mexico dog case, have sustained trader focus on the Polymarket market, though federal responses remain channeled through USDA-APHIS measures rather than a presidential national emergency declaration. The parasite, eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique, causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of animals; northward spread from Mexico since 2023 prompted Texas statewide disaster proclamations renewed through September 2026, CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded sterile fly releases. USDA reports roughly 49 U.S. animal cases by mid-September with no locally acquired human infestations and very low public risk per CDC data, while FDA emergency use authorizations address treatment gaps. Key upcoming factors include continued surveillance updates, sterile fly production scaling, and port reopening decisions that could influence whether broader federal emergency authority is invoked by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
31 ottobre
44%
December 31
46%
$1,880 Vol.
31 ottobre
$13 Vol.
44%
December 31
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock and one horse in Presidio County, plus a New Mexico dog case, have sustained trader focus on the Polymarket market, though federal responses remain channeled through USDA-APHIS measures rather than a presidential national emergency declaration. The parasite, eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique, causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of animals; northward spread from Mexico since 2023 prompted Texas statewide disaster proclamations renewed through September 2026, CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded sterile fly releases. USDA reports roughly 49 U.S. animal cases by mid-September with no locally acquired human infestations and very low public risk per CDC data, while FDA emergency use authorizations address treatment gaps. Key upcoming factors include continued surveillance updates, sterile fly production scaling, and port reopening decisions that could influence whether broader federal emergency authority is invoked by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,880Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock and one horse in Presidio County, plus a New Mexico dog case, have sustained trader focus on the Polymarket market, though federal responses remain channeled through USDA-APHIS measures rather than a presidential national emergency declaration. The parasite, eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique, causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of animals; northward spread from Mexico since 2023 prompted Texas statewide disaster proclamations renewed through September 2026, CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded sterile fly releases. USDA reports roughly 49 U.S. animal cases by mid-September with no locally acquired human infestations and very low public risk per CDC data, while FDA emergency use authorizations address treatment gaps. Key upcoming factors include continued surveillance updates, sterile fly production scaling, and port reopening decisions that could influence whether broader federal emergency authority is invoked by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,880Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock and one horse in Presidio County, plus a New Mexico dog case, have sustained trader focus on the Polymarket market, though federal responses remain channeled through USDA-APHIS measures rather than a presidential national emergency declaration. The parasite, eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique, causes myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of animals; northward spread from Mexico since 2023 prompted Texas statewide disaster proclamations renewed through September 2026, CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded sterile fly releases. USDA reports roughly 49 U.S. animal cases by mid-September with no locally acquired human infestations and very low public risk per CDC data, while FDA emergency use authorizations address treatment gaps. Key upcoming factors include continued surveillance updates, sterile fly production scaling, and port reopening decisions that could influence whether broader federal emergency authority is invoked by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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