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icon for Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre
Economy·Lavori

Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre

icon for Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre
Economy·Lavori

Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre

ott 2

ott 2

4,1% 37%

4,2% 26%

4,0% 17%

4,3% 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO

4,1% 37%

4,2% 26%

4,0% 17%

4,3% 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO

≤3,8%

$589 Vol.

5%

3,9%

$105 Vol.

7%

4,0%

$62 Vol.

17%

4,1%

$657 Vol.

37%

4,2%

$84 Vol.

26%

4,3%

$62 Vol.

11%

4,4%

$176 Vol.

6%

4,5%

$505 Vol.

5%

≥4,6%

$505 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a 162,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls has anchored trader expectations for the September release, scheduled for October 2. Stronger-than-anticipated job growth, rising labor force participation to 61.6%, and upward revisions to prior months have supported a narrow band of outcomes centered on 4.0–4.2%, with the 4.1% outcome holding the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent wage growth and mixed inflation signals keep the labor market outlook sensitive to incoming data, while monthly volatility in household survey figures sustains competition among nearby rates.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.

The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,746
Data di fine
2 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showing the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% alongside a 162,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls has anchored trader expectations for the September release, scheduled for October 2. Stronger-than-anticipated job growth, rising labor force participation to 61.6%, and upward revisions to prior months have supported a narrow band of outcomes centered on 4.0–4.2%, with the 4.1% outcome holding the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent wage growth and mixed inflation signals keep the labor market outlook sensitive to incoming data, while monthly volatility in household survey figures sustains competition among nearby rates.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.

The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,746
Data di fine
2 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Il tasso di disoccupazione negli Stati Uniti raggiungerà almeno il 5,0% nel 2026?

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Sì
icon for Gli Stati Uniti aggiungeranno tra 50.000 e 100.000 posti di lavoro a settembre?

Gli Stati Uniti aggiungeranno tra 50.000 e 100.000 posti di lavoro a settembre?

26%
Sì
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L'inflazione mensile aumenterà dello 0,4% ad agosto?

48%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "4,1%" a 37%, seguito da "4,2%" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 37¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 4, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre" è "4,1%" a 37%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "4,2%" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Tasso di disoccupazione di settembre" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.