SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reported target valuation of $1.75–2 trillion ahead of a potential June 2026 debut have anchored trader expectations for a closing market capitalization well above $1 trillion. Strong secondary-market trades above $1.5 trillion, rapid Starlink subscriber growth, and ongoing Starship flight-test progress reinforce the view that the aerospace company’s reusable launch systems and satellite constellation will support premium pricing once public. With the IPO now appearing imminent and no IPO-before-2028 outcome priced below 2 percent, the 95.5 percent consensus on the 1T+ bucket reflects broad agreement that current momentum and revenue visibility will hold through the offering window. A sharp equity-market correction, major Starship setback, or unexpected regulatory delay could still compress the debut valuation, but recent filings and trading activity leave little room for outcomes below $1 trillion under current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike più bassi)
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike più bassi)
Oltre 1.000 miliardi 96%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 1.3%
800–900 miliardi 1.1%
700–800 miliardi <1%
$3,431,799 Vol.
$3,431,799 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
<1%
500–600 miliardi
<1%
600–700 miliardi
<1%
700–800 miliardi
1%
800–900 miliardi
1%
900B–1T
1%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi
96%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
1%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi 96%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 1.3%
800–900 miliardi 1.1%
700–800 miliardi <1%
$3,431,799 Vol.
$3,431,799 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
$376,674 Vol.
<1%
500–600 miliardi
$320,419 Vol.
<1%
600–700 miliardi
$292,708 Vol.
<1%
700–800 miliardi
$331,571 Vol.
1%
800–900 miliardi
$481,987 Vol.
1%
900B–1T
$418,914 Vol.
1%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi
$610,703 Vol.
96%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$598,823 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reported target valuation of $1.75–2 trillion ahead of a potential June 2026 debut have anchored trader expectations for a closing market capitalization well above $1 trillion. Strong secondary-market trades above $1.5 trillion, rapid Starlink subscriber growth, and ongoing Starship flight-test progress reinforce the view that the aerospace company’s reusable launch systems and satellite constellation will support premium pricing once public. With the IPO now appearing imminent and no IPO-before-2028 outcome priced below 2 percent, the 95.5 percent consensus on the 1T+ bucket reflects broad agreement that current momentum and revenue visibility will hold through the offering window. A sharp equity-market correction, major Starship setback, or unexpected regulatory delay could still compress the debut valuation, but recent filings and trading activity leave little room for outcomes below $1 trillion under current conditions.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$3,431,799Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reported target valuation of $1.75–2 trillion ahead of a potential June 2026 debut have anchored trader expectations for a closing market capitalization well above $1 trillion. Strong secondary-market trades above $1.5 trillion, rapid Starlink subscriber growth, and ongoing Starship flight-test progress reinforce the view that the aerospace company’s reusable launch systems and satellite constellation will support premium pricing once public. With the IPO now appearing imminent and no IPO-before-2028 outcome priced below 2 percent, the 95.5 percent consensus on the 1T+ bucket reflects broad agreement that current momentum and revenue visibility will hold through the offering window. A sharp equity-market correction, major Starship setback, or unexpected regulatory delay could still compress the debut valuation, but recent filings and trading activity leave little room for outcomes below $1 trillion under current conditions.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$3,431,799Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reported target valuation of $1.75–2 trillion ahead of a potential June 2026 debut have anchored trader expectations for a closing market capitalization well above $1 trillion. Strong secondary-market trades above $1.5 trillion, rapid Starlink subscriber growth, and ongoing Starship flight-test progress reinforce the view that the aerospace company’s reusable launch systems and satellite constellation will support premium pricing once public. With the IPO now appearing imminent and no IPO-before-2028 outcome priced below 2 percent, the 95.5 percent consensus on the 1T+ bucket reflects broad agreement that current momentum and revenue visibility will hold through the offering window. A sharp equity-market correction, major Starship setback, or unexpected regulatory delay could still compress the debut valuation, but recent filings and trading activity leave little room for outcomes below $1 trillion under current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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