SpaceX's recent test campaign, including successful Super Heavy booster tower catches and an intact Ship reentry with engine relight on Flight 13, underpins the 55.5% implied probability for full Starship reusability before 2028. The upcoming Flight 14 orbital attempt on September 22 will validate longer-duration performance and Starlink V3 deployment while gathering critical heat shield data, building on V3 hardware upgrades like improved Raptor 3 engines and filtering. Elon Musk has highlighted 2027 as the likely window for rapid booster and Ship reflights via Mechazilla arms, though the undemonstrated upper-stage catch and potential regulatory or technical hurdles keep sentiment balanced.