Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating at 38.5–38.9% on May 15 at 69%, reflecting the latest polling average's second-term low of around 38–39% as of May 13–14, driven by early May surveys like the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll showing record-high disapproval. Ongoing dissatisfaction with Trump's handling of the Iran war escalation, inflation, and rising gas prices has eroded support even among Republicans, pushing net approval to -18.9 in Silver Bulletin—among the lowest for presidents entering midterms. Absent new polls or major events in the final hours, traders see limited upside for 40%+, while sub-38% remains a distant risk given recent stability in aggregates like RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. Resolution awaits Silver Bulletin's finalized May 15 figure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 74%
38.0–38.4 29.9%
39.0–39.4 6.0%
<38.0 1.3%
$18,956 Vol.
$18,956 Vol.
15 mag 2026
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
29%
38.5–38.9
69%
39.0–39.4
6%
39.5–39.9
1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 74%
38.0–38.4 29.9%
39.0–39.4 6.0%
<38.0 1.3%
$18,956 Vol.
$18,956 Vol.
15 mag 2026
<38.0
$2,778 Vol.
1%
38.0–38.4
$3,801 Vol.
29%
38.5–38.9
$4,444 Vol.
69%
39.0–39.4
$3,954 Vol.
6%
39.5–39.9
$2,308 Vol.
1%
40.0+
$1,671 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating at 38.5–38.9% on May 15 at 69%, reflecting the latest polling average's second-term low of around 38–39% as of May 13–14, driven by early May surveys like the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll showing record-high disapproval. Ongoing dissatisfaction with Trump's handling of the Iran war escalation, inflation, and rising gas prices has eroded support even among Republicans, pushing net approval to -18.9 in Silver Bulletin—among the lowest for presidents entering midterms. Absent new polls or major events in the final hours, traders see limited upside for 40%+, while sub-38% remains a distant risk given recent stability in aggregates like RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. Resolution awaits Silver Bulletin's finalized May 15 figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$18,956Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating at 38.5–38.9% on May 15 at 69%, reflecting the latest polling average's second-term low of around 38–39% as of May 13–14, driven by early May surveys like the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll showing record-high disapproval. Ongoing dissatisfaction with Trump's handling of the Iran war escalation, inflation, and rising gas prices has eroded support even among Republicans, pushing net approval to -18.9 in Silver Bulletin—among the lowest for presidents entering midterms. Absent new polls or major events in the final hours, traders see limited upside for 40%+, while sub-38% remains a distant risk given recent stability in aggregates like RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. Resolution awaits Silver Bulletin's finalized May 15 figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,956Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating at 38.5–38.9% on May 15 at 69%, reflecting the latest polling average's second-term low of around 38–39% as of May 13–14, driven by early May surveys like the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll showing record-high disapproval. Ongoing dissatisfaction with Trump's handling of the Iran war escalation, inflation, and rising gas prices has eroded support even among Republicans, pushing net approval to -18.9 in Silver Bulletin—among the lowest for presidents entering midterms. Absent new polls or major events in the final hours, traders see limited upside for 40%+, while sub-38% remains a distant risk given recent stability in aggregates like RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. Resolution awaits Silver Bulletin's finalized May 15 figure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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