The redrawn TX-35 district, which now favors Republicans by roughly Trump +10 based on 2024 results after 2025 mid-decade map changes, sets up an open-seat contest between Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order and working-class appeals, and Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured Trump’s backing after winning his runoff. Trader consensus reflects Garcia’s stronger positioning amid heavy outside spending from both parties, a competitive polling environment, and potential shifts in Latino voter turnout within the majority-Hispanic district. Recent developments include an early October candidate forum focused on affordability and immigration, plus Republican ad investments tied to the broader House majority fight, keeping the implied probabilities closely contested ahead of early voting.