President Trump’s summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 13-15 produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products but yielded no new mutual agreement on tariff reductions or extensions. Trump stated afterward that tariffs were not discussed during the meetings, and the prior 90-day truce framework remains unchanged with no announced rollback or formal extension before the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining, the absence of concrete progress on tariff policy during the high-level talks has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying agreement will materialize by the cutoff, as ongoing bilateral discussions continue without immediate resolution on rates or enforcement mechanisms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$62,370 Vol.
$62,370 Vol.
31 mag 2026
$62,370 Vol.
$62,370 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump’s summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 13-15 produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products but yielded no new mutual agreement on tariff reductions or extensions. Trump stated afterward that tariffs were not discussed during the meetings, and the prior 90-day truce framework remains unchanged with no announced rollback or formal extension before the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining, the absence of concrete progress on tariff policy during the high-level talks has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying agreement will materialize by the cutoff, as ongoing bilateral discussions continue without immediate resolution on rates or enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$62,370Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump’s summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 13-15 produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products but yielded no new mutual agreement on tariff reductions or extensions. Trump stated afterward that tariffs were not discussed during the meetings, and the prior 90-day truce framework remains unchanged with no announced rollback or formal extension before the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining, the absence of concrete progress on tariff policy during the high-level talks has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying agreement will materialize by the cutoff, as ongoing bilateral discussions continue without immediate resolution on rates or enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$62,370Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 13-15 produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products but yielded no new mutual agreement on tariff reductions or extensions. Trump stated afterward that tariffs were not discussed during the meetings, and the prior 90-day truce framework remains unchanged with no announced rollback or formal extension before the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining, the absence of concrete progress on tariff policy during the high-level talks has reinforced trader expectations that no qualifying agreement will materialize by the cutoff, as ongoing bilateral discussions continue without immediate resolution on rates or enforcement mechanisms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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