The newly court-ordered congressional map has transformed Utah’s 1st District into a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic. Former Rep. Ben McAdams won the June 23 Democratic primary by a wide margin and faces Republican Riley Owen in the November 3 general election. The absence of a sitting Republican incumbent, combined with the district’s partisan voter index and McAdams’s prior name recognition and fundraising edge, has produced the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would mark the first time the party has held the seat in over a decade. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major candidate-specific scandal or dramatic national political shift—could realistically alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera UT-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera UT-01
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$5,600 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$31,363 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly court-ordered congressional map has transformed Utah’s 1st District into a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic. Former Rep. Ben McAdams won the June 23 Democratic primary by a wide margin and faces Republican Riley Owen in the November 3 general election. The absence of a sitting Republican incumbent, combined with the district’s partisan voter index and McAdams’s prior name recognition and fundraising edge, has produced the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would mark the first time the party has held the seat in over a decade. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major candidate-specific scandal or dramatic national political shift—could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$36,963Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly court-ordered congressional map has transformed Utah’s 1st District into a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic. Former Rep. Ben McAdams won the June 23 Democratic primary by a wide margin and faces Republican Riley Owen in the November 3 general election. The absence of a sitting Republican incumbent, combined with the district’s partisan voter index and McAdams’s prior name recognition and fundraising edge, has produced the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would mark the first time the party has held the seat in over a decade. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major candidate-specific scandal or dramatic national political shift—could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,963Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly court-ordered congressional map has transformed Utah’s 1st District into a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic. Former Rep. Ben McAdams won the June 23 Democratic primary by a wide margin and faces Republican Riley Owen in the November 3 general election. The absence of a sitting Republican incumbent, combined with the district’s partisan voter index and McAdams’s prior name recognition and fundraising edge, has produced the current market pricing. A Democratic victory would mark the first time the party has held the seat in over a decade. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major candidate-specific scandal or dramatic national political shift—could realistically alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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