Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew’s established position in the South Jersey district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Van Drew, who switched from the Democratic Party years ago, secured re-election in 2024 by roughly 16 points and faces no primary opposition this cycle. The district maintains a modest Republican voter registration edge, and recent primary results confirmed Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as the Democratic nominee after a multi-candidate contest. With the November general election approaching, these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts have kept Republican odds elevated while limiting Democratic upside in the implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NJ-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
81%
Partito Democratico
14%
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$12,329 Vol.
81%
Partito Democratico
$11,858 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew’s established position in the South Jersey district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Van Drew, who switched from the Democratic Party years ago, secured re-election in 2024 by roughly 16 points and faces no primary opposition this cycle. The district maintains a modest Republican voter registration edge, and recent primary results confirmed Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as the Democratic nominee after a multi-candidate contest. With the November general election approaching, these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts have kept Republican odds elevated while limiting Democratic upside in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,186Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew’s established position in the South Jersey district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Van Drew, who switched from the Democratic Party years ago, secured re-election in 2024 by roughly 16 points and faces no primary opposition this cycle. The district maintains a modest Republican voter registration edge, and recent primary results confirmed Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as the Democratic nominee after a multi-candidate contest. With the November general election approaching, these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts have kept Republican odds elevated while limiting Democratic upside in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,186Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew’s established position in the South Jersey district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Van Drew, who switched from the Democratic Party years ago, secured re-election in 2024 by roughly 16 points and faces no primary opposition this cycle. The district maintains a modest Republican voter registration edge, and recent primary results confirmed Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as the Democratic nominee after a multi-candidate contest. With the November general election approaching, these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts have kept Republican odds elevated while limiting Democratic upside in the implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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