Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake and Will Ferrell-led The Hawk both posted dominant Nielsen streaming numbers last week, with the former reaching 1.175 billion minutes viewed and surging 27 percent from its debut frame. These fresh originals, alongside evergreen performers like The Big Bang Theory and SpongeBob SquarePants exceeding one billion minutes each, have lifted the implied ceiling for the week’s top title. Broadcast news programs holding steady near eight million viewers provide a floor, while the absence of major live events or finales keeps the distribution tight. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 9–9.5 million viewer band, reflecting the combined momentum of new releases and catalog strength without any single outlier pushing higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (10-16 agosto)
9–9,5 milioni 59%
8m–8,5m 37%
8,5–9 mln 21%
<7 mln 20%
<7 mln
20%
7m–7,5m
18%
7,5–8 mln
19%
8m–8,5m
37%
8,5–9 mln
21%
9–9,5 milioni
59%
9,5m–10m
11%
10 milioni+
18%
9–9,5 milioni 59%
8m–8,5m 37%
8,5–9 mln 21%
<7 mln 20%
<7 mln
20%
7m–7,5m
18%
7,5–8 mln
19%
8m–8,5m
37%
8,5–9 mln
21%
9–9,5 milioni
59%
9,5m–10m
11%
10 milioni+
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake and Will Ferrell-led The Hawk both posted dominant Nielsen streaming numbers last week, with the former reaching 1.175 billion minutes viewed and surging 27 percent from its debut frame. These fresh originals, alongside evergreen performers like The Big Bang Theory and SpongeBob SquarePants exceeding one billion minutes each, have lifted the implied ceiling for the week’s top title. Broadcast news programs holding steady near eight million viewers provide a floor, while the absence of major live events or finales keeps the distribution tight. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 9–9.5 million viewer band, reflecting the combined momentum of new releases and catalog strength without any single outlier pushing higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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