Skip to main content
icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?
Politica·Celebrità

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?

$1,070,145 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,070,145 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$74,714 Vol.

13%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$27,365 Vol.

11%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$55,329 Vol.

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$12,731 Vol.

9%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,877 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$14,511 Vol.

9%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$4,244 Vol.

9%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$15,473 Vol.

8%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,064 Vol.

8%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$47,554 Vol.

8%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,298 Vol.

8%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$19,298 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$10,030 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,374 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,964 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,464 Vol.

8%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$3,164 Vol.

7%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$60,557 Vol.

7%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$3,463 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,640 Vol.

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 Vol.

7%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$17,025 Vol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,631 Vol.

6%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,727 Vol.

6%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$31,240 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,535 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$10,328 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$35,002 Vol.

5%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,836 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,302 Vol.

5%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,665 Vol.

4%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$4,919 Vol.

4%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$9,119 Vol.

4%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,576 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,834 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,209 Vol.

4%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$25,660 Vol.

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,077 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,426 Vol.

4%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,727 Vol.

4%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$54,390 Vol.

4%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$20,702 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,510 Vol.

3%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,852 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,973 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,881 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$8,029 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,691 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$14,005 Vol.

3%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,582 Vol.

3%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,352 Vol.

3%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,894 Vol.

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

2%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,193 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,402 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,939 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,673 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,428 Vol.

2%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$7,170 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,834 Vol.

2%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,769 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,909 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$26,065 Vol.

1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$6,153 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,405 Vol.

1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,666 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,994 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party frontrunners have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, though exploratory activity and positioning by figures such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Mark Kelly, and others continue ahead of the November midterms. The Democratic National Committee finalized an early primary window starting in South Carolina in January 2028, while historical patterns show campaign launches accelerating after midterm results clarify party dynamics and voter sentiment. A small number of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but trader focus centers on whether high-profile contenders will declare before the end of 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include post-election polling shifts, fundraising reports, and any statements from potential candidates weighing Senate or gubernatorial roles against national ambitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,070,145
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party frontrunners have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, though exploratory activity and positioning by figures such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Mark Kelly, and others continue ahead of the November midterms. The Democratic National Committee finalized an early primary window starting in South Carolina in January 2028, while historical patterns show campaign launches accelerating after midterm results clarify party dynamics and voter sentiment. A small number of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but trader focus centers on whether high-profile contenders will declare before the end of 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include post-election polling shifts, fundraising reports, and any statements from potential candidates weighing Senate or gubernatorial roles against national ambitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,070,145
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Pete Buttigieg annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2028?

Pete Buttigieg annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2028?

85%
Sì
icon for Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

3%
Sì
icon for Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

11%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Gavin Newsom" a 13%, seguito da "Tucker Carlson" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 13¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" è "Gavin Newsom" a 13%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tucker Carlson" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.